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Gold Prices Over Decade: Outperforming Equities from 2015-2025

Gold Prices Over Decade
Gold Prices Over Decade: 2015 vs 2025 Performance (ARI)

Gold prices have truly captured the market's attention, delivering an astonishing 35% return in just nine months of 2025, a performance that has outperformed both the Nifty and the Sensex over the past decade. This remarkable ascent, taking gold from approximately Rs 25,000 per 10 grams a decade ago to over Rs 1,05,000 currently, underscores its enduring appeal as a premier investment. As geopolitical uncertainties and global economic shifts continue to shape investment landscapes, understanding the factors driving gold's performance and its future trajectory becomes paramount for discerning investors seeking to preserve and grow their wealth.

The Enduring Allure of Gold: A Decade of Dominance

Gold, often hailed as a safe-haven asset, has demonstrated remarkable resilience and growth, particularly when juxtaposed against traditional investment vehicles like equities. Over the past decade, the precious metal has not only preserved wealth but significantly augmented it, surprising many seasoned investors. This surge is particularly noteworthy when compared to the performance of major stock market indices, underscoring gold's unique role in a diversified portfolio.

Gold's Stellar Performance: 2015 to 2025

The journey of gold prices from 2015 to 2025 paints a compelling picture of its investment prowess. In 2015, a mere Rs 25,000 could secure 10 grams of gold. Fast forward to 2025, and that same quantity commands an impressive Rs 1,05,000, signifying a staggering 320% increase. This phenomenal growth has not been a fleeting trend; the yellow metal has consistently outperformed benchmarks like the Nifty and Sensex, delivering substantial returns that have captured investor attention.

A Decade of Price Appreciation

The upward trajectory of gold prices over the last ten years is nothing short of extraordinary. Starting from approximately Rs 25,000 per 10 grams in 2015, gold has witnessed an ascent to over Rs 1,05,000 by 2025. This represents a remarkable gain of over 320%, a feat that few other asset classes can rival over the same period. This sustained appreciation highlights gold's enduring appeal as a store of value and a potent wealth generator.

Silver's Impressive Run

While gold often steals the spotlight, silver has also charted an impressive course, delivering robust returns for investors. Between 2015 and 2025, silver prices have surged by approximately 270%. Beginning at around Rs 33,300 per kilogram a decade ago, silver has climbed to approximately Rs 1,23,000. This significant growth demonstrates that both precious metals have provided substantial investment opportunities, outshining many conventional assets.

Equity Market vs. Bullion: A Comparative Analysis

The traditional view often positions the bullion market as a slow and steady investment. However, the past decade has dramatically challenged this perception. Both gold and silver have consistently outperformed the equity market, as represented by the Sensex and Nifty. While gold has seen a 320% rise and silver a 270% increase, the Sensex has registered a 210% growth, and the Nifty, about 215% over the same ten-year span. This stark contrast underscores a significant shift in investment dynamics, favoring precious metals.

Sensex and Nifty's Growth Trajectory

The Indian stock market, while experiencing growth, has not matched the pace of precious metals. In September 2015, the Sensex was hovering around 25,700 points. By 2025, it has climbed to approximately 80,000, marking a gain of about 210%. Similarly, the Nifty, which stood at nearly 7,800 a decade ago, has reached around 24,500, a growth of roughly 215%. While these figures represent considerable returns, they fall short of the impressive gains seen in gold and silver.

Outperformance Drivers: Geopolitics and Economic Factors

Several factors have contributed to gold's superior performance compared to the equity market. Geopolitical tensions and global economic uncertainties, including the COVID-19 pandemic, the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and regional disputes, have fueled demand for gold as a safe haven. These events have often cast a shadow over economic outlooks, impacting equity markets negatively. Furthermore, a weakening rupee has also played a crucial role in driving up domestic gold prices, making it an attractive investment for Indian investors.

Forecasting Future Gold Prices

The outlook for gold prices remains optimistic, especially with the upcoming festive and wedding seasons, historically periods of increased demand for the yellow metal. Analysts suggest that ongoing global uncertainties, including trade disputes and concerns about central bank policies, will continue to support gold prices. The depreciation of the Indian rupee further enhances the attractiveness of gold for domestic investors. Experts predict that gold could potentially reach new highs, with some forecasts suggesting figures around Rs 1.10 lakh to Rs 1.20 lakh in the coming months.

Technical Indicators and Support Levels

From a technical standpoint, gold appears well-supported, with key support levels identified in both dollar and rupee terms. Resistance levels are also clearly defined, suggesting a potential for further upward movement. For instance, in rupee terms, gold has support around Rs 1,03,340-1,02,940 and resistance at Rs 1,04,450-1,04,750. Silver also shows similar technical indicators. These levels provide valuable insights for traders and investors looking to navigate the market.

Conclusion: Gold's Enduring Value Proposition

The past decade has unequivocally demonstrated gold's superior performance compared to equities, solidifying its status as a robust investment. Its ability to weather economic storms, coupled with factors like geopolitical instability and currency fluctuations, positions it as a reliable hedge and a significant wealth creator. As global uncertainties persist, gold is likely to remain a cornerstone of investment portfolios, offering both stability and substantial returns.

Asset Class

Return (2015-2025)

Starting Price (2015)

Current Price (2025)

Gold (per 10g)

~320%

Rs 25,000

Rs 1,05,000

Silver (per kg)

~270%

Rs 33,300

Rs 1,23,000

Sensex

~210%

25,700

80,000

Nifty

~215%

7,800

24,500

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Important Editorial Note

The views and insights shared in this article represent the author’s personal opinions and interpretations and are provided solely for informational purposes. This content does not constitute financial, legal, political, or professional advice. Readers are encouraged to seek independent professional guidance before making decisions based on this content. The 'THE MAG POST' website and the author(s) of the content makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy or completeness of the information presented.

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